We use a variety of well-tested and novel approaches to understanding how to balance economic, social and environmental objectives.  From cost-benefit analysis to machine learning, CEOS members use and advance methods to model complex social-environmental systems, estimate impact of interventions and design optimal policy solutions to enable us to build a more sustainable society.

Research Output

Title Publication Authors Year Published Category Method Status
The costs and benefits of primary prevention of zoonotic pandemics Science Advances Bernstein, A.S., Ando, A.W., and authors 2022 O (SM) System Modeling (PR) Peer Reviewed
A roadmap toward scalably quantifying field-level agricultural carbon outcome EarthArXiv Guan, K., Jin, Z., DeLucia, E.H., West, P., Peng, B., Tang, J., Jiang, C., Wang, S., Kim, T., Zhou, W., Griffis, T., Liu, L., Qin, Z., Margenot, A.J., Kumar, V., Bernacchi, C.J., Yang, W.H., Lee, D., Coppess, J.W., Gerber, J., Jahn, M., Khanna, M., & Yang, S. 2022 FA (SM) System Modeling (WP) Working Paper
An agent-based modeling tool supporting bioenergy and bio-product community communication regarding cellulosic bioeconomy development Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews Yang, P., Cai, X., Hu, X., Zhao, Q., Lee, Y., Khanna, M... 2022 EE (PD) Policy Design, (SM) System Modeling (PR) Peer Reviewed
Repeal of the clean power plan: Social cost and distributional implications American Journal of Agricultural Economics Khanna, M., Chen, X., Wang, W., & Oliver, A. 2021 EE (SM) System Modeling
Assessing the returns to land and greenhouse gas savings from producing energy crops on conservation reserve program land Environmental Science & Technology Chen, L., Blanc-Betes, E., Hudiburg, T.W., Hellerstein, D., Wallander, S., DeLucia, E.H., & Khanna, M. 2021 EE (SM) System Modeling
Economic viability and carbon footprint of switchgrass for cellulosic biofuels: Insights from a spatial multi‐feedstock procurement landscape analysis GCB Bioenergy Sesmero, J.P., Trull, N.U, & Gramig, B.M 2021 EE (SM) System Modeling, (OM) Other
The economic and environmental costs and benefits of the renewable fuel standard Environmental Research Letters Chen, L., Debnath, D., Zhong, J., Ferin, K., VanLoocke, A., & Khanna, M. 2021 EE (SM) System Modeling (PR) Peer Reviewed
Potential for large-scale CO2 removal via enhanced rock weathering with croplands Nature Beerling, D.J., Kantzas, E.P., Lomas, M.R., Wade, P., Eufrasio, R.M., Renforth, P., Sarkar, B., Andrews, M.G., James, R.H., Pearce, C.R., Mercure, J.F., Pollitt, H., Holden, P.B., Edwards, N.R., Khanna, M., Koh, L., Quegan, S., Pidgeon, N.F., Janssens, I.A., Hansen, J., & Banwart, S.A. 2020 EE (SM) System Modeling
The value of conducting on-farm field trials using precision agriculture technology: A theory and simulations Precision Agriculture Bullock, D. S., Mieno, T., & Hwang, J. 2020 FA (SM) System Modeling, (OM) Other
Water quality effects of economically viable land use change in the Mississippi River Basin under the renewable fuel standard Environmental Science & Technology Ferin, K.M., Chen, L., Zhong, J., Acquah, S., Heaton, E.A., Khanna, M., & VanLoocke, A. (2020). 2020 LW (SM) System Modeling
Market structure and the effect of ethanol expansion on Land allocation: A spatially explicit analysis American Journal of Agricultural Economics Wang, Y., Delgado, M. S., Sesmero, J. P., Gramig, B. M.
2020 FA, LW (IE) Impact Evaluation, (SM) System Modeling
Assessing the additional carbon savings with biofuel Bioenergy Research Khanna, M., Wang, W. & Wang, M. 2020 EE (SM) System Modeling
Repeal of the Clean Power Plan: Social Cost And Distributional Implications American Journal of Agricultural Economics X. chen, W. Wang and A. Oliver 2020 EE (SM) System Modeling
Worshipping the tiger: Modeling non-use existence values of wildlife spiritual services Environmental and Resource Economics Lopes, A. A., & Atallah, S. S. 2020 LW, O (SM) System Modeling
Optimal monitoring and controlling of invasive species: The case of spotted wing drosophila in the United States American Journal of Agricultural Economics Fan, X., Gómez, M. I., Atallah, S. S., & Conrad, J. M.
2020 FA, O (SM) System Modeling
Agent-based modeling of moose-winter tick relationships in Northern New Hampshire Ecological Complexity Healy, C., Pekins, P. J., Atallah, S. S., & Congalton, R.
2020 O (SM) System Modeling
Integrated approaches to understanding and reducing drought impact on food security across scales Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability He, X., Estes, L., Konar, M., Tian, D., Anghileri, D., Baylis, K., ... & Sheffield, J. 
2020 FA (SM) System Modeling
Agricultural impacts of climate change in Indiana and potential adaptations Climatic Change Bowling, L.C., Cherkauer, K., Lee, C., Beckerman, J., Brouder, S., Buzan, J., Doering, O., Dukes, J., Ebner, P., Frankenberger, J., Gramig, B.M., Kladivko, E., Volenec, J. 2020 FA, LW (SM) System Modeling
Can insurance alter poverty dynamics and reduce the cost of social protection in developing countries? Journal of Risk and Insurance Janzen, S. A., Carter, M. R., & Ikegami, M. 2020 SC (SM) System Modeling
The origins, consequences, and implications of Stanford's 1.2 Rule for nitrogen fertilizer application Agronomy Journal Rodriguez, D.G.P., & Bullock, D. S. 2019 FA (SM) System Modeling, (OM) Other
Adopting energy crops: Does farmers' attitude toward loss matter? Agricultural Economics Anand, M., Miao, R. & Khanna, M. 2019 FA, EE (PD) Policy Design, (SM) System Modeling
Is wood pellet-based electricity less carbon-intensive than coal-based electricity? It depends on perspectives, baselines, feedstocks, and forest management practices Environmental Research Letters Dwivedi, P., M. Khanna and M. Fuller 2019 EE (SM) System Modeling
Multi-objective optimization for sustainable renewable jet fuel production: A case study of corn stover based supply chain system in Midwestern U.S. Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews Huang, E., Zhang, X., Rodriguez, L., Khanna, M., de jong, S., Ting, K.C., Ying, Y.
2019 EE (SM) System Modeling
Poverty traps and the social protection paradox The Economics of Poverty Traps (book) Ikegami, M., Carter, M. R., & Barrett, C. B. 2019 SC (SM) System Modeling
Phytosanitary Regulation of Washington Apple Producers under an Apple Maggot Quarantine Program.  Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics Hong, Y., Gallardo, K., Fan, X., Atallah, S. S., Gómez, M.
2019 FA, O (SM) System Modeling
Effect of corn ethanol production on conservation reserve program acres in the US Applied Energy Chen, X., & Khanna, M.
2018 LW, EE (SM) System Modeling
Multicriterion optimal electric drive vehicle selection based on lifecycle emission and lifecycle cost Energy Economics Ahmadi, P., Cai, X.M., & Khanna, M.
2018 EE (SM) System Modeling
Spatial distribution of welfare costs of renewable portfolio standards in the United States electricity sector Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences Oliver, A.C. , & Khanna, M.
2018 EE (SM) System Modeling
Modeling uncertainty in climate change: A multi-model comparison Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economics Gillingham, K., Nordhaus, W., Blanford, G., Bosetti, V., Christensen, P., McJeon, H., Reilly, J., and Sztorc, P.
2018 O (SM) System Modeling
Social protection in the face of climate change: Targeting principles and transfer mechanisms Environment and Development Economics Carter, M. R. 2018 SC (SM) System Modeling
Can insurance help manage climate risk and food insecurity? Evidence from the pastoral regions of East Africa Climate Smart Agriculture - Building Resilience to Climate Change Carter, M. R., A., & Stoeffler, Q. 2018 SC (SM) System Modeling
A bioeconomic model of ecosystem service provision: Coffee berry borer and shade-grown coffee Ecological Economics Atallah, S. S., Gómez, M. I., & Jaramillo, J.
2018 FA (SM) System Modeling
The social inefficiency of regulating indirect land use change due to biofuels Nature Communications Khanna, M., Wang, W., Hudiburg, T., & DeLucia, E.
2017 EE (SM) System Modeling
Spatially explicit return on investment to private forest conservation for water purification in Indiana, USA Ecosystem Services Wang, Y., Atallah, S. S., & Shao, G.
2017 LW (SM) System Modeling
What is the cost of a renewable energy-based approach to greenhouse gas mitigation? Land Economics Oliver, A.C., & Khanna, M.
2017 EE (SM) System Modeling
Specification of spatial dynamic externalities and implications for strategic behavior in disease control Land Economics Atallah, S. S., Gómez, M. I., & Conrad, J. M.
2017 FA, O (SM) System Modeling
A note on modeling household food waste behavior Applied Economics Letters Lusk, J.L., & Ellison, B.
2017 O (SM) System Modeling
Integrated economic and environmental assessment of cellulosic biofuel production in an agricultural watershed BioEnergy Research Song, J., Gramig, B. M., Cibin, R., & Chaubey, I.
2017 FA, LW (SM) System Modeling
Influence of neighbor experience and exit on small farmer market participation American Journal of Agricultural Economics American Journal of Agricultural Economics 2017 O (SM) System Modeling
Costs of Meeting a Cellulosic biofuel mandate with perennial energy crops: Implications for policy Energy Economics Miao, R., & Khanna, M.
2017 FA, EE (SM) System Modeling
Demand for Biomass to meet renewable energy targets in the US: Implications for land use Global Change Biology Bioenergy Oliver, A.C., & Khanna, M.
2017 EE (SM) System Modeling
Towards a theoretical construct for modelling smallholders’ forestland-use decisions: What can we learn from agriculture and forest economics? Forests  Baker, K., Bull, G. Q., Baylis, K., & Barichello, R.
2017 LW (SM) System Modeling
Effectiveness of the biomass crop assistance program: Roles of behavioral factors, credit constraint, and program design Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy Miao, R., & Khanna, M.
2017 FA, EE (SM) System Modeling
Balancing public goods in agriculture through safe minimum standards European Review of Agricultural Economics Bullock, D.S., Mittenzwei, K. & Wangsness, P.B.
2016 FA (PD) Policy Design, (SM) System Modeling
Simulating the value of information generated by on-farm field trials using precision agriculture technology Working paper Bullock, D. S. & Mieno, T.
2016 FA (SM) System Modeling
Efficacy of carbon and bioenergy markets in mitigating carbon emissions on reforested lands: A case study from southern United States Forest Policy and Economics Dwivedi, P., Khanna, M., Sharma, A., & Susaeta, A.
2016 EE (SM) System Modeling
Impacts of a 32 billion gallon bioenergy landscape on land and fossil fuel use in the US Nature Energy Hudiburg, T.W., Wang, W., Khanna, M., Long, S. P., Dwivedi, P., Parton, W. J., Hartmann, M., & DeLucia, E.H.
2016 EE (SM) System Modeling
Who pays and who gains from fuel policies in Brazil? Energy Economics Khanna, M., Nunez, H., & Zilberman, D.
2016 EE (SM) System Modeling
Days suitable for fieldwork in the US corn belt: Climate, soils and spatial heterogeneity Working Paper Gramig, B. M., & Yun, S. D
2016 FA, O (SM) System Modeling
Can peers improve agricultural revenue? World Development Songsermsawas, T., Baylis, K., Chhatre, A., & Michelson, H. 2016 O (IE) Impact Evaluation, (SM) System Modeling
The importance of animal source foods for nutrient sufficiency in the developing world: The Zambia scenario Food and Nutrition Bulletin Zhang, Z., Goldsmith, P. D., & Winter-Nelson, A. 2016 SC (PD) Policy Design, (SM) System Modeling
The effects of oil price on regional trade in the united states Journal of Economic Geography Szewerniak, W., Xu, Y., & Dall'erba, S. 2016 O (SM) System Modeling
Carbon savings with transatlantic trade in pellets: Accounting for market-driven effects Environmental Research Letters Wang, W., Dwivedi, P. Abt, R., & Khanna, M.
2015 EE (SM) System Modeling
Cost of abating greenhouse gas emissions with cellulosic ethanol Environmental Science and Technology Dwividi, P., Wang, W., Hudiburg, T., Jaiswal, D., Parton, W., Long, S., DeLucia, E., & Khanna, M.
2015 EE (SM) System Modeling
Managing multiple mandates: A system of systems model to analyze strategies for producing cellulosic ethanol and reducing riverine nitrate loads in the upper Mississippi River basin Environmental Science and Technology Housh, M., Yaeger, M., Cai, X., McIsaac, G., Khanna, M., Sivapalan, M., Ouyang, Y., Al-Qadi, I., & Jain, A. 2015 EE (SM) System Modeling
A plant-level, spatial, bioeconomic model of plant disease diffusion and control: grapevine leafroll disease American Journal of Agricultural Economics Atallah, S. S., Gómez, M. I., Conrad, J. M., & Nyrop, J. P.
2015 FA (SM) System Modeling
Mix of first and second generation biofuels to meet multiple environmental objectives: Implications for policy at a watershed scale Water Policy Economics Housh, M., Khanna, M., & Cai, X.
2015 EE (SM) System Modeling
Optimal mix of vertical integration and contracting for energy crops effect of risk preferences and land quality Applied Economic Policy and Perspectives Yang, X., Paulson, N. D., & Khanna, M.
2015 FA, EE (SM) System Modeling
The economics of post-harvest loss: A case study of the new large soybean-maize producers in tropical Brazil Food Security Goldsmith, P.D., Martins, A.G., & Moura, A.D. 2015 SC (SM) System Modeling